No civil war, this isn't 1861. We aren't as defined as in 1861, plus 1861 had State backing, people back in 1861 had loyalty to the State in far greater numbers than today. This is a topic I've discussed in some detail a couple of years ago.
If their is a war with china it would be short lived and contained to a limited naval engagement over the seven new islets in the south china sea but the conflict wouldn't expand much further than the new islets, I still don't see a conflict though I do see an escalation in harassment against US sea and air power around these man made islands, china knows it ain't ready to go toe to toe with US Naval power.
Russia, I don't see much going on just saber rattling. Russia is enjoying the sidelines by watching the US, china and north korea exchanges, all the while making money off china in sales.
North korea, possibly the pandoras box, china doesn't want a unification nor does it want a US and or friend on it's border, it certainly don't want a bunch of refugees trying to cross over into it's country, any shooting war would practically destroy Seoul by north korea's artillery setting off a financial melt down possibly engulfing the worlds financial markets certainly in Asia. So, would china intervene by taking sides as it did in 1950? yes and no, I think china would try to keep it a cross boarder shooting conflict but I do think china would intervene if South and US forces start successfully invading the north. Would the North attack Japan? would Japan retaliate? pissing off china. I can go on with the possibilities, like I said, north korea is a pandoras box. With all that, I don't see it expanding to a full conflict?
It's all out of my hands thus I'm not going to change what I do or how I prep and continue the same path I've been on, worrying about and/or changing ones preps would be a mistake. IMHO
