Economic Decline article

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TexasFreedom

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http://www.alt-market.com/articles/...-to-distract-the-public-from-economic-decline

A REALLY well written article. Here is the first section. It is long, but I think the author really nails the economic situation:

Tracking geopolitical and fiscal developments over the past several years is a bit like watching a slow motion train wreck; you know exactly what the consequences of the events will be, you try to warn people as much as possible, but, ultimately, you cannot reverse the disaster. The disaster has for all intents and purposes already happened. What we are witnessing is the aftermath as a forgone conclusion.


This is why whenever someone asks me as an economic and political analyst "when the collapse is going to happen," I have to shake my head in bewilderment. The "collapse" is here now. It is done. It is a historical fact. It's just that not many people have the eyes to see it yet, primarily because they are hyper-focused on all the wrong things.


For many centuries now, elitists in power have understood the value of geopolitical distraction as a tool for controlling the masses. If you examine the underlying motivations behind the majority of wars between nations regardless of the era, you will in most cases discover that the power brokers on both sides tend to be rather friendly with each other. In fact, monarchies and oligarchies are historically notorious for fabricating diplomatic tensions and conflicts in order to force populations back under their control. That is to say, wars and other man-made conflicts give the citizenry something to react to, instead of hunting down the establishment cabal like they should.


One of the greatest illusions of human progress is the notion that most conflicts happen at random; that there are two sides and that those sides are fighting over ideological differences. In truth, most conflicts have nothing to do with ideological differences between governments and financial oligarchs. The REALtarget of these conflicts is the people — or, to be more precise, the psychology of the people. Conflicts are often engineered in order to affect a particular change within the minds of the masses or to distract them from other dangers or solutions.


These scenarios are taken at face value by many because, unfortunately, most people have short attention spans. If an observer in 2007 was to be transported 10 years into the future, in 2017 they would find a world in dramatic and horrifying decline. The shock would be overwhelming. Ask an observer today what they think of the state of the world and they might not see much to be concerned about. The human mind becomes easily acclimated to crisis over time. We are resilient in this way, but also weak, because we forget the way things should be in order to deal with the way things are.


We only seem to take drastic actions to improve our situation after we have already hit rock bottom. The year of 2017 has so far been host to some extreme accelerations in crisis and collapse, and rock bottom is not looking too far away anymore.


Four trigger points around the globe concern me greatly, not because I think they will necessarily lead to a disaster any greater than the one we are already living in, but because they have the potential to effectively distract the public from more serious concerns. I am of course talking about the powder keg issues of Syria, North Korea, China vs. India, as well as Russia.


First, let's be clear, the ongoing destabilization of our economy should be the primary concern of every person on the planet, most particularly those in the West. We are living within the husk of a dead fiscal system, reanimated with the voodoo of central bank stimulus, but only for a limited time. Economic decline is the greatest threat to cultural longevity as well as to human freedom. Even nuclear war could not hold a candle to the terror of financial disaster, because at least in a nuclear war the slate is wiped clean for establishment elites as well as the normal population. At least, in the event of nuclear war, the elites face anarchy just like we do.


In an economic crisis, the establishment maintains a certain level of control and thus its arsenal of toys - Including biometric surveillance grids, standing military support in the form of martial law, as well as the delusion among the populace that things "might go back to the way they were before" given enough time and patience.


There will be no nuclear war. Perhaps a limited nuclear event, but not a global exchange. There will be no moment of apocalypse as it is commonly displayed in Hollywood films. However, we WILL witness lesser conflicts as a means to turn our gaze away from the economy itself.


To give a quick summary of the economy so far from an American perspective, I must first remind readers of the constant misinformation that is often used by government institutions and central banks in order to hide negative data. For example, recovery proponents will sometimes cite the supposed "decline" in the number of people registered for food stamp (SNAP) benefits from the 47 million peak in 2013 to 42 million recipients today. Yet, they rarely mention the fact that much of this decline is directly attributed to states now enforcing work requirements instead of simply handing out SNAP cards like Mardi Gras beads.


They also still, for some reason, like to cite the decline in the unemployment rate to 4.4 percent while continuing to ignore the fact that 95 million working age Americans are no longer counted as unemployed by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. They argue that this is an entirely acceptable condition, even though it is unprecedented, because "home surveys" from the BLS claim that most of these people "do not really want to work." These utterly ambiguous surveys leave open ended data to be interpreted essentially however the BLS wants to interpret it. Meaning, if they want to label millions of people as "disinterested" in employment, they can and will regardless of whether this is true or not.


Retail store closures have tripled so far this year, with 8,600 stores projected to close in total in 2017. This far surpasses the previous record of 6,163 stores in 2008 at the onset of the credit crisis.


This incredible implosion in brick and mortar business is often blamed on the rise of internet retail, or the "Amazon effect." This is yet another lie. Total e-commerce sales only accounted for 8.5 percent of total U.S. retail sales in the first quarter of 2017 according to the commerce department. This means that internet retail is nowhere near large enough to account for the considerable loss in standard retail business. Thus, we must look to the stagnation in consumer spending to explain the situation.


Auto sales continue their steady decline in 2017 as the short lived boom now faces death as ARM-style loans turn over and new buyers become scarce.


U.S. home ownership rates have collapsed since 2007. More households are renting than at any time in the past 50 years.


U.S. household debt has now hit levels not seen since 2008, just before the credit crisis.


Those looking for government spending to save the day should probably look elsewhere. Nearly 75 percent of every tax dollar goes towards non-productive spending on the part of government.


I could go on and on — it is simply undeniable that nearly every sector of the U.S. economy is in steady decline compared to pre-2008 levels. This instability in the fundamentals will eventually weigh down and crash stock markets, bond markets, currency markets, etc. Such markets are the last vestige of the U.S. economy still giving the appearance of health.


So, there will come a time, probably sooner rather than later, when the piper will have to be paid and someone will have to take the blame for our fiscal non-recovery. The international banks and central banks are certainly not going to volunteer for this even though they are the real perpetrators behind our incessant financial rot. But how do they avoid accepting responsibility?
 
I know I can be impatient.

A few guys like this post so far, a few more haven't said good/bad, but nobody has commented on any of it.

Usually when I read an article, I can find holes. Flawed assumptions, bad interpretations, etc. Not this article. I read it (ignore some of the international stuff, just the economy pieces), and I did not find a single thing. Not only did I not find holes, I didn't even find anywhere that I wanted to add to it. Sure, I could quote stats/details, but I honestly don't think a single one is needed. He has just enough to support his every statement, and adding more would be redundant.

And parts of it are poetic, for example: We are living within the husk of a dead fiscal system, reanimated with the voodoo of central bank stimulus, but only for a limited time. NAILED IT.

I've also printed it to local friends of similar viewpoints. It left them speechless as well, nothing to add or disagree with.

What is your response to this? Same as me? Agree but not 100%? Disagree? Please, I'd like to hear.
 
I know I can be impatient.

A few guys like this post so far, a few more haven't said good/bad, but nobody has commented on any of it.

Usually when I read an article, I can find holes. Flawed assumptions, bad interpretations, etc. Not this article. I read it (ignore some of the international stuff, just the economy pieces), and I did not find a single thing. Not only did I not find holes, I didn't even find anywhere that I wanted to add to it. Sure, I could quote stats/details, but I honestly don't think a single one is needed. He has just enough to support his every statement, and adding more would be redundant.

And parts of it are poetic, for example: We are living within the husk of a dead fiscal system, reanimated with the voodoo of central bank stimulus, but only for a limited time. NAILED IT.

I've also printed it to local friends of similar viewpoints. It left them speechless as well, nothing to add or disagree with.

What is your response to this? Same as me? Agree but not 100%? Disagree? Please, I'd like to hear.
Well Tex, your always full of good cheer, aren't you. I think this guy is pretty accurate in his assessment. For me personally I do believe that we are heading for a serious down turn in our economy. We have allowed a totally unsustainable socilist/welfare system to take over the US. We tend to spend more time worrying about the takers (so called poor) than we do about the makers (tax payers). As a nation we are already bankrupt due the unending and unwinnable wars, welfare handouts, excessively over bloated government and insane and crippling regulations.
I also think it's too late to turn things around, just try to cut government handouts to certain demographics.
Unless we get in to another war, that we cannot win, I think we still have a few years left before our economy goes tits up. Or until we elect another Democrat. Which ever comes first.
 
I agree with the most of the article, if not all. Been a tough day at work.

We have been unsustainable for a long time.

A good friend owns a body shop. He keeps an eye on the auto industry. He has been talking for a long time about the problems in the industry. His big concern is the length of the loans. We all know that if you go buy a new car, as soon as you sign the paperwork you just spent at least $2000, due to the car not being new now. Fine, if you're going to keep it and run the wheels off it. But, if you want a new car every 3 or 4 years, you're screwed. Next, add a 6 or 7 year loan and it's interest on top of that. You're driving a car that is usually upside down from the beginning. So, if you drive 20k miles a year, in 5 years you have a car that's worth very little, yet you still owe a lot more than it's worth. So, you go buy a new car again. You have to borrow more than it's worth before you even sign the papers. You're really upside down now. That cycle doesn't get better, but sales tank because people can't borrow enough to keep buying.

The last vehicle we owed money on was a 2002 Ford F-250. Bought new, sticker price $45k, but I paid $35k. I had 3 years of payments on $10k loan with no interest. I kept it until 2015. No interest.

Since then, we've been paying for our vehicles. Loans are a no no.

We use credit cards. Paid completely every month. We watch our money.

We are in the minority. Unfortunately.

We need to figure our we're not the world's mama. We need to take care of us first.....

And AD, you and I both know whenever the economy goes to crap we find a war. It's the way it has about always been, and it sucks.
 

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